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Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?: Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran before Jan 1, 2027? Before 2027

No98%
Before 20272%

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24h volume$2
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 19Sep 24Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the United States has announced the opening of an embassy or consulate of the United States of America in Iran after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The embassy/consulate must be opened or have a specific date on which it will be opened to be encompassed by the Payout Criterion. It also includes an embassy being re-opened after suspending operations.

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 05:06 PM UTC