KalshiOpen

U.S. imports from Iran >$5M in 2026?: Will U.S. imports from Iran for 2026 be greater than $5M?

No91%

in 20269%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:30 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesMay 2, 2027in 7 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the "TOTAL 2026" value for Imports on the U.S. Census Bureau "Trade in goods with Iran" table (values in millions of U.S. dollars) for 2026 is greater than 5.0, then the market resolves to Yes.

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As of Sep 29, 09:21 PM UTC