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U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY above 3% in any 2026 quarter?: Will U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY in any quarter for 2026 be above 3%?

Above 3%55%

No45%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:11 PM UTC

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24h volume$3.3

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread4%

ResolvesJun 2, 2027in 8 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If U.S. nonfarm business sector labor productivity year-over-year growth is above 3% in any quarter of 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only the first non-preliminary release for each quarter will be considered. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

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As of Sep 29, 10:25 PM UTC