Texas Senate: Exact outcome: Will GOP Nominee be Ken Paxton AND General Election Winner be Republican for Jan 2027? Paxton defeats Talarico
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If ALL of the following occur before Jan 2027: GOP Nominee: Ken Paxton, General Election Winner: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: GOP Nominee (SENATEPARTYNOM), General Election Winner (SENATEPARTY). All conditions must be satisfied before Jan 2027.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Senate: Exact outcome: Will GOP Nominee be Ken Paxton AND General Election Winner be Democrat for Jan 2027? Talarico defeats Paxton | Kalshi | 58% Talarico defeats Paxton | Open |
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As of Sep 29, 09:27 PM UTC