KalshiOpen

CA-06 House winner?: Will Kevin Kiley win the House race for CA-06?

No90%

Kevin Kiley10%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:58 PM UTC

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24h volume$48.7

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread7%

ResolvesJan 4, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the House member sworn in for CA-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is Kevin Kiley (as an independent), then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
CA-06 House winner?: Will Republican win the House race for CA-06? Republican party	Kalshi	100% No	$8	—	—	Open
CA-06 House winner?: Will Democratic win the House race for CA-06? Richard Pan	Kalshi	93% Richard Pan	$8	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 09:19 PM UTC