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When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?: When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List? Before 2027

No61%
Before 202739%

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Spread6%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the FDA announces Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The Payout Criterion is satisfied by placement of BPC-157 in either Category 1 or Category 1 Bulk Drug Substances Under Evaluation on the 503A Bulk Drug Substances list, as either designation restores compounding eligibility. Removal from Category 2 alone, without placement in Category 1, does not satisfy the Payout Criterion.

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As of Sep 30, 04:57 AM UTC