KalshiOpen
Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year? In 2026
No95%
In 20265%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$0
7d volume—
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Spread4%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months
Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If there are above 0 cases of polio in the United States in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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As of Sep 29, 09:06 PM UTC