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Will Tesla layoff 3,000 employees before October 1, 2026?: Will Tesla layoffs affecting at least 3,000 employees be confirmed? Before Oct 1, 2026

No95%
Before Oct 1, 20265%

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24h volume$0
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ResolvesOct 1, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If any Source Agency explicitly confirms, between Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, that Tesla has announced layoffs affecting at least 3,000 employees in aggregate, then the market resolves to Yes. “Affecting at least 3,000 employees in aggregate” means one or more qualifying layoff announcements made before October 1, 2026 that explicitly total 3,000 or more employees. Employees must be identified as Tesla employees; contractors and unfilled roles do not count unless explicitly described as employees.

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As of Sep 29, 08:26 PM UTC