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USDT reserve share in T-bills at end of 2026?: Will percentage of USDT reserves held in U.S. Treasury Bills at the end of 2026 be above 60.0%?

No54%
Above 60.0%46%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread7%
ResolvesMar 7, 2027in 5 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the percentage obtained by dividing the amount listed as “U.S. Treasury Bills” by Total Reserves in Tether International, S.A. de C.V.’s reserve report for December 31, 2026 is above 60.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. For this market, the percentage of USDT reserves held in U.S. Treasury Bills at the end of 2026 will be determined using Tether’s reserve report for the quarter ending December 31, 2026. The market value will be equal to 100 × (U.S. Treasury Bills ÷ Total Reserves), using the dollar amounts reported by Tether. If the resulting value is reported to more than one decimal place, it will be rounded to one decimal place. If Tether changes the formatting of its reserve report but continues to publish clearly equivalent figures for direct U.S. Treasury Bills and Total Reserves, those figures will be used.

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As of Sep 29, 10:27 PM UTC