KalshiOpen

Filibuster weakened before 2028

No83%

Before 202817%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:11 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread5%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If there is a change in U.S. Senate rules or precedent that lowers the threshold for cloture for any legislative action whose threshold for cloture at time of Issuance is three-fifths of all Senators duly chosen and sworn before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Modifications to budget reconciliation rules are not encompassed and do not resolve the market to Yes. See full rules for examples.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Filibuster weakened before Jan 20, 2029 Before January 20, 2029	Kalshi	69% No	$0	—	—	Open
Filibuster weakened before 2027	Kalshi	93% No	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 10:01 PM UTC