KalshiOpen

More white-collar layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?: More white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025? Yes

Yes54%
No46%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread6%
ResolvesMar 1, 2027in 5 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the total number of layoffs and discharges in the Professional and Business Services sector during calendar year 2026 is greater than 5,497,000, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will use FRED series JTU540099LDL, “Layoffs and Discharges: Total Nonfarm: Professional and Business Services, Level in Thousands, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted."

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 10:27 PM UTC