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2028 Presidential race: exact outcome: Will JD Vance defeat James Talarico in the 2028 presidential election, with James Talarico as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee? JD Vance defeats James Talarico

No99%
JD Vance defeats James Talarico1%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 7, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If JD Vance defeats James Talarico in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Democratic Nominee (PRESNOM), Republican Nominee (PRESNOM), Presidential Winner (PRESPERSON). All conditions must be satisfied the 2028 presidential election.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome: Will JD Vance defeat Gavin Newsom in the 2028 presidential election, with Gavin Newsom as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee? JD Vance defeats Gavin NewsomKalshi51% JD Vance defeats Gavin NewsomOpen
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome: Will Marco Rubio defeat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the 2028 presidential election, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the Democratic nominee and Marco Rubio as the Republican nominee? Marco Rubio defeats AOCKalshi98% NoOpen
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome: Will Jon Ossoff defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Jon Ossoff as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee? Jon Ossoff defeats JD VanceKalshi90% NoOpen
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome: Will Marco Rubio defeat Pete Buttigieg in the 2028 presidential election, with Pete Buttigieg as the Democratic nominee and Marco Rubio as the Republican nominee? Marco Rubio defeats Pete ButtigiegKalshi99% NoOpen
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome: Will Pete Buttigieg defeat Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, with Pete Buttigieg as the Democratic nominee and Marco Rubio as the Republican nominee? Pete Buttigieg defeats Marco RubioKalshi96% NoOpen
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome: Will Pete Buttigieg defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Pete Buttigieg as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee? Pete Buttigieg defeats JD VanceKalshi97% NoOpen
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome: Will JD Vance defeat Pete Buttigieg in the 2028 presidential election, with Pete Buttigieg as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee? JD Vance defeats Pete ButtigiegKalshi97% NoOpen
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome: Will JD Vance defeat Kamala Harris in the 2028 presidential election, with Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee? JD Vance defeats Kamala HarrisKalshi94% NoOpen
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome: Will Marco Rubio defeat James Talarico in the 2028 presidential election, with James Talarico as the Democratic nominee and Marco Rubio as the Republican nominee? Marco Rubio defeats James TalaricoKalshi99% NoOpen
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome: Will Kamala Harris defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee? Kamala Harris defeats JD VanceKalshi94% NoOpen
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome: Will James Talarico defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with James Talarico as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee? James Talarico defeats JD VanceKalshi98% NoOpen
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome: Will Marco Rubio defeat Josh Shapiro in the 2028 presidential election, with Josh Shapiro as the Democratic nominee and Marco Rubio as the Republican nominee? Marco Rubio defeats Josh ShapiroKalshi99% NoOpen
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome: Will James Talarico defeat Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, with James Talarico as the Democratic nominee and Marco Rubio as the Republican nominee? James Talarico defeats Marco RubioKalshi99% NoOpen
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome: Will Josh Shapiro defeat Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, with Josh Shapiro as the Democratic nominee and Marco Rubio as the Republican nominee? Josh Shapiro defeats Marco RubioKalshi99% NoOpen
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome: Will JD Vance defeat Josh Shapiro in the 2028 presidential election, with Josh Shapiro as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee? JD Vance defeats Josh ShapiroKalshi99% NoOpen
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome: Will Josh Shapiro defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Josh Shapiro as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee? Josh Shapiro defeats JD VanceKalshi98% NoOpen
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome: Will Jon Ossoff defeat Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, with Jon Ossoff as the Democratic nominee and Marco Rubio as the Republican nominee? Jon Ossoff defeats Marco RubioKalshi99% NoOpen
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome: Will Marco Rubio defeat Jon Ossoff in the 2028 presidential election, with Jon Ossoff as the Democratic nominee and Marco Rubio as the Republican nominee? Marco Rubio defeats Jon OssoffKalshi99% NoOpen
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome: Will JD Vance defeat Jon Ossoff in the 2028 presidential election, with Jon Ossoff as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee? JD Vance defeats Jon OssoffKalshi97% NoOpen
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome: Will Gavin Newsom defeat Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, with Gavin Newsom as the Democratic nominee and Marco Rubio as the Republican nominee? Gavin Newsom defeats Marco RubioKalshi97% NoOpen
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome: Will Gavin Newsom defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Gavin Newsom as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee? Gavin Newsom defeats JD VanceKalshi88% NoOpen
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome: Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee? AOC defeats JD VanceKalshi96% NoOpen
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome: Will JD Vance defeat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the 2028 presidential election, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee? JD Vance defeats AOCKalshi95% NoOpen
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome: Will Marco Rubio defeat Andy Beshear in the 2028 presidential election, with Andy Beshear as the Democratic nominee and Marco Rubio as the Republican nominee? Marco Rubio defeats Andy BeshearKalshi99% NoOpen
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome: Will Andy Beshear defeat Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, with Andy Beshear as the Democratic nominee and Marco Rubio as the Republican nominee? Andy Beshear defeats Marco RubioKalshi99% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 08:26 PM UTC