Will any Republican member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment before 2028?
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Probability history
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Resolution rules
If any Republican member of Congress calls for the impeachment of the President of the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Statements must be clear, unambiguous, and current. This includes any of the following: Introducing articles of impeachment (if applicable) Co-sponsoring articles of impeachment (if applicable) Voting for articles of impeachment (if applicable) Clear, unambiguous, and explicit statements supporting impeachment such as "the person supports impeachment of the President" or "the person believes the President should be impeached" Posts on official social media accounts, press releases, or legislative websites expressing that impeachment should proceed. The call for impeachment is still encompassed by the Payout Criterion even if subsequently retracted. The following do NOT qualify: Vague or implicit references that do not clearly advocate for impeachment, such as expressions of concern or dissatisfaction with presidential conduct that do not explicitly mention impeachment Statements criticizing the President's actions or policies, statements of process or neutrality, e.g., "Let's wait for the investigation" or "The House should explore impeachment" without a personal endorsement Statements contingent on future events, such as "If X happens, then I will support impeachment" or "We may need to consider impeachment if more evidence emerges" Statements made prior to Issuance, and "likes" or "retweets" on social media of other individuals calling for impeachment without additional commentary
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will any Republican member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment before 2027? | Kalshi | 77% No | Open |
| Will any Republican member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment before 2029? Before Jan 20, 2029 | Kalshi | 51% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 11:51 PM UTC