KalshiOpen

Alaska State Senate winner?: Who will win the Alaska State Senate? Republican party

Republican party84%
No16%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread10%
ResolvesNov 3, 2026next month

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Republican party wins the Alaska State Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Winning is defined as holding more seats than any other party two weeks after the State Senate is sat for the session following the election. If both parties are tied, then the market resolves to No. This market is also eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Alaska State Senate winner?: Who will win the Alaska State Senate? Democratic partyKalshi89% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 10:12 PM UTC