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When will Trump's Labor Secretary pick be confirmed?: Will Trump's first announced Labor Secretary pick be confirmed as Secretary of Labor before Jan 1, 2027?

Before Jan 1, 202791%
No9%

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24h volume$200
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread7%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Trump's first announced Labor Secretary pick is the first person confirmed as Secretary of Labor before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No.

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As of Sep 30, 01:15 AM UTC