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College Basketball (M): #1 Ranked Team on Week 1 AP Poll: Will Michigan be #1 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 rankings?

No99%
Michigan1%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesDec 15, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Michigan is ranked #1 on the 2026 Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 Rankings for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution is determined solely by the AP Top 25 Poll designated as Week 1 Rankings for the 2026-27 season on the official Associated Press website. Other sources may display the AP Poll with differing week labels or dates; however, resolution will be based solely on the AP’s official designation. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
College Basketball (M): #1 Ranked Team on Week 1 AP Poll: Will Florida be the #1 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 rankings?Kalshi82% FloridaOpen
College Basketball (M): #1 Ranked Team on Week 1 AP Poll: Will Michigan St. be #1 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 rankings?Kalshi99% NoOpen
College Basketball (M): #1 Ranked Team on Week 1 AP Poll: Will Kansas be #1 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 rankings?Kalshi98% NoOpen
College Basketball (M): #1 Ranked Team on Week 1 AP Poll: Will Illinois be #1 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 rankings?Kalshi95% NoOpen
College Basketball (M): #1 Ranked Team on Week 1 AP Poll: Will Iowa St. be #1 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 rankings?Kalshi99% NoOpen
College Basketball (M): #1 Ranked Team on Week 1 AP Poll: Will Louisville be #1 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 rankings?Kalshi99% NoOpen
College Basketball (M): #1 Ranked Team on Week 1 AP Poll: Will UConn be #1 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 rankings?Kalshi99% NoOpen
College Basketball (M): #1 Ranked Team on Week 1 AP Poll: Will Arkansas be #1 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 rankings?Kalshi99% NoOpen
College Basketball (M): #1 Ranked Team on Week 1 AP Poll: Will Houston be #1 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 rankings?Kalshi99% NoOpen
College Basketball (M): #1 Ranked Team on Week 1 AP Poll: Will Duke be #1 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 rankings?Kalshi82% NoOpen
College Basketball (M): #1 Ranked Team on Week 1 AP Poll: Will Arizona be #1 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 rankings?Kalshi99% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 10:20 PM UTC