KalshiOpen

Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party before Aug 1, 2027?

No62%

Before Aug 1, 202738%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:59 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread7%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If John Fetterman announces they are leaving party (or are no longer caucusing with them in the Senate) before Aug 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	54% No	$209.5	—	—	Open
Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	86% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party before Apr 1, 2027?	Kalshi	78% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party before Nov 3, 2026?	Kalshi	96% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 11:20 PM UTC