Will the Senate vote on the SAVE America Act? Before Oct 1, 2026
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Senate has conducted any recorded vote on the SAVE America Act after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This includes: Roll call votes Recorded votes Yea-and-nay votes Electronic votes (in the House) Division/standing votes The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Voice votes where individual member positions are not recorded Unanimous consent agreements without a recorded vote Votes in committee, unless the bill/motion specifically refers to a committee vote Procedural determinations by the presiding officer Deemed passage without an actual vote For clarity: A vote on cloture regarding the bill/motion, including cloture on a motion to proceed to the bill/motion, DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on the rule governing debate of the bill/motion DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion if the bill/motion specifically refers to that rule A vote on a motion to proceed to the bill/motion DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on final passage DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on an amendment to the bill/motion does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion unless the bill/motion specifically refers to that amendment
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Senate vote on the SAVE America Act? Before Nov 3, 2026 | Kalshi | 90% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 6 hours agoDiscussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 30, 12:31 AM UTC