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Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?: What states will redistrict before the 2028 Congressional elections? New Jersey

No70%
New Jersey30%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread4%
ResolvesNov 7, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the New Jersey legislature has adopted new, qualifying congressional district maps after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. These maps must be: Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; AND Not enjoined, vacated, stayed, or struck down in full by any court with jurisdiction over congressional redistricting in New Jersey as of the Expiration Date; AND In effect for use in the first scheduled federal election after its adoption For clarity: Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will resolve to YES if they are ultimately in effect by the Expiration Date Maps that are completely redrawn by a court or special master will resolve to NO Maps that are withdrawn by the Legislature before implementation will resolve to NO If no new maps are adopted by Nov 7, 2028, the market will resolve to NO

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?: What states will redistrict before the 2028 Congressional elections? KansasKalshi63% NoOpen
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?: What states will redistrict before the 2028 Congressional elections? WisconsinKalshi57% NoOpen
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?: What states will redistrict before the 2028 Congressional elections? OregonKalshi78% NoOpen
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?: What states will redistrict before the 2028 Congressional elections? PennsylvaniaKalshi50% NoOpen
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?: What states will redistrict before the 2028 Congressional elections? WashingtonKalshi80% NoOpen
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?: What states will redistrict before the 2028 Congressional elections? New YorkKalshi77% New YorkOpen
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?: What states will redistrict before the 2028 Congressional elections? MinnesotaKalshi62% NoOpen
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?: What states will redistrict before the 2028 Congressional elections? IndianaKalshi66% IndianaOpen
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?: What states will redistrict before the 2028 Congressional elections? MarylandKalshi57% MarylandOpen
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?: What states will redistrict before the 2028 Congressional elections? ArizonaKalshi80% NoOpen
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?: What states will redistrict before the 2028 Congressional elections? IllinoisKalshi81% IllinoisOpen
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?: What states will redistrict before the 2028 Congressional elections? ColoradoKalshi62% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 07:24 PM UTC