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How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?: Above 11000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026 Above 11k

No81%
Above 11k19%

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Spread5%
ResolvesJan 8, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the total number of tuberculosis disease cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 11000, then the market resolves to Yes. Cases are determined at 10:00 AM ET on the Expiration Date (January 8). Cases that actually occur between the end of the specified time period and Expiration do not count, but newly reported cases during this window do count if they are backdated to 2026. See the full rules for how Source Agencies are prioritized. This market refers exclusively to human cases.

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As of Sep 29, 11:20 PM UTC