KalshiOpen

2028 Electoral College margin of victory?: Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 11 to 30 Electoral College votes? Republican by 11 to 30

No96%

Republican by 11 to 304%

Price checked at Sep 30, 07:11 AM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 8, 2029in 2 years

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Republican wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 11-30 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
2028 Electoral College margin of victory?: Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 211 to 538 Electoral College votes? Republican by 211 or more	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
2028 Electoral College margin of victory?: Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 61 to 90 Electoral College votes? Republican by 61 to 90	Kalshi	96% No	$0	—	—	Open
2028 Electoral College margin of victory?: Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 91 to 130 Electoral College votes? Republican by 91 to 130	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open
2028 Electoral College margin of victory?: Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 31 to 60 Electoral College votes? Republican by 31 to 60	Kalshi	98% No	$0	—	—	Open
2028 Electoral College margin of victory?: Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 131 to 210 Electoral College votes? Republican by 131 to 210	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
2028 Electoral College margin of victory?: Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 1 to 10 Electoral College votes? Republican by 1 to 10	Kalshi	96% No	$0	—	—	Open
2028 Electoral College margin of victory?: Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 91 to 130 Electoral College votes? Democratic by 91 to 130	Kalshi	86% No	$0	—	—	Open
2028 Electoral College margin of victory?: Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 61 to 90 Electoral College votes? Democratic by 61 to 90	Kalshi	88% No	$0	—	—	Open
2028 Electoral College margin of victory?: Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 211 to 538 Electoral College votes? Democratic by 211 or more	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
2028 Electoral College margin of victory?: Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 31 to 60 Electoral College votes? Democratic by 31 to 60	Kalshi	89% No	$0	—	—	Open
2028 Electoral College margin of victory?: Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 1 to 10 Electoral College votes? Democratic by 1 to 10	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open
2028 Electoral College margin of victory?: Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 131 to 210 Electoral College votes? Democratic by 131 to 210	Kalshi	96% No	$0	—	—	Open
2028 Electoral College margin of victory?: Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 11 to 30 Electoral College votes? Democratic by 11 to 30	Kalshi	94% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 30, 07:48 AM UTC