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How many major Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?: Will there be more than 0 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Central Pacific in 2026? Above 0

Above 099%
No1%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesDec 1, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If more than 0 hurricanes of category 3 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.

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As of Sep 29, 11:19 PM UTC