KalshiOpen

How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?: Will there be more than 6 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026? Above 6

Above 699%
No1%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread8%
ResolvesDec 1, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If more than 6 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?: Will there be more than 10 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026? Above 10Kalshi70% Above 10Open
How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?: Will there be more than 9 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026? Above 9Kalshi64% Above 9Open
How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?: Will there be more than 11 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026? Above 11Kalshi61% NoOpen
How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?: Will there be more than 13 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026? Above 13Kalshi85% NoOpen
How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?: Will there be more than 12 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026? Above 12Kalshi72% NoOpen
How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?: Will there be more than 8 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026? Above 8Kalshi96% NoOpen
How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?: Will there be more than 7 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026? Above 7Kalshi81% Above 7Open
How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?: Will there be more than 5 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026? Above 5Kalshi98% Above 5Open

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 10:10 PM UTC