KalshiOpen

Which party will win the 2032 Presidential Election?: Will the Republican party win the Presidency in 2032?

No53%
Republican party47%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread6%
ResolvesJan 21, 2033in 6 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 20Sep 26Oct 2Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Which party will win the 2032 Presidential Election?: Will the Democratic party win the Presidency in 2032?Kalshi54% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 2, 06:33 PM UTC