KalshiOpen

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?: Will Fay be the first named hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?

No99%

Fay1%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:58 PM UTC

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24h volume$985.1

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesDec 1, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If a storm named Fay is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves Yes for the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then all markets resolve to No.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?: Will Isaias be the first named hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?	Kalshi	70% No	$504.2	—	—	Open
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?: Will Bertha be the first named hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?	Kalshi	99% No	$467.6	—	—	Open
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?: Will Josephine be the first named hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?	Kalshi	80% No	$454.7	—	—	Open
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?: Will Hanna be the first named hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?	Kalshi	92% No	$274.5	—	—	Open
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?: Will Gonzalo be the first named hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?	Kalshi	99% No	$141.8	—	—	Open
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?: Will Kyle be the first named hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?	Kalshi	90% No	$99.5	—	—	Open
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?: Will Omar be the first named hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?	Kalshi	99% No	$93.5	—	—	Open
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?: Will Arthur be the first named hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?	Kalshi	99% No	$93.5	—	—	Open
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?: Will Nana be the first named hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?	Kalshi	96% No	$43.8	—	—	Open
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?: Will Leah be the first named hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?	Kalshi	89% No	$14.3	—	—	Open
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?: Will Marco be the first named hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?	Kalshi	93% No	$13.4	—	—	Open
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?: Will Vicky be the first named hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?: Will Wilfred be the first named hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?: Will Teddy be the first named hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?: Will Sally be the first named hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?: Will Paulette be the first named hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?: Will Rene be the first named hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?: Will Dolly be the first named hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?: Will Edouard be the first named hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?: Will Cristobal be the first named hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 10:27 PM UTC