Annual Return: WTI vs. Brent?: Will Brent Crude Oil outperform WTI Crude Oil?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Brent Crude Oil performs above WTI Crude Oil for the period of 2026 by 0.001% rounded to the nearest 3rd then the market resolves to Yes. Percent return is calculated from the official open price of WTI Crude Oil on January 2, 2026 (the first published trading day of the calendar year) and the official closing price on December 31, 2026. For example, if WTI Crude Oil opens at $80.00 per barrel on January 2, 2026 and closes at $90.00 per barrel on December 31, 2026, it will be concluded that the annual percentage return of WTI Crude Oil is +12.500%.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Annual Return: WTI vs. Brent?: Will WTI Crude Oil outperform Brent Crude Oil? | Kalshi | 72% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 10:28 PM UTC