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Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? Justin Bieber

No93%
Justin Bieber7%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 19Sep 26Oct 2Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Justin Bieber performs (or it is announced that they will perform at) at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026 during the official event timeframe, then the market resolves to Yes. Additional clarification(s): Justin Bieber appears on stage or in the official broadcast or stream; AND Justin Bieber actively and perceptibly contributes to a musical performance by singing (including audible lead or backing vocals), rapping, playing a musical instrument, DJ-ing, or conducting a live band; AND Is either a scheduled performer, a guest appearance during another artist's set, or is formally announced as a performer by official event organizers or Justin Bieber's official representatives. Note: This Contract may resolve on the announcement of Justin Bieber’s anticipated performance at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026. If an announced Justin Bieber later withdraws from The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026, this will not affect the resolution of the Contract. The following constitutes a performance and IS encompassed by the Payout Criterion: A full solo performance of one or more songs. A collaborative or joint performance in which Justin Bieber is physically present and actively contributes musically. A guest appearance during another artist's set in which Justin Bieber performs at least one full verse, chorus, or musical segment. A medley in which Justin Bieber is present and actively performing, even if Justin Bieber's portion is partial. A performance in which Justin Bieber performs entirely via an officially produced and sanctioned satellite feed, video link, or holographic display that is presented as part of the official live event program, provided that the performance is real-time or was produced specifically for and presented exclusively within The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026. A DJ set in which Justin Bieber is the performing DJ operating equipment live, regardless of whether Justin Bieber sings. A pre-recorded performance segment presented as part of the official event program, provided it is attributed to Justin Bieber by the official event organizers and presented as a performance (rather than a tribute, retrospective, or archival clip). A performance that begins within the official event timeframe but extends beyond it due to scheduling overrun, provided the performance commenced during the official timeframe. A performance at a rescheduled version of The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026 where the reschedule occurs within one year of the original event date, pursuant to the postponement provisions below.

Other legs of this event

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Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? Benson BooneKalshi98% NoOpen
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? BLACKPINKKalshi98% NoOpen

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As of Oct 2, 10:27 AM UTC