KalshiOpen

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?: Will Lee Zeldin be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

No99%
Lee Zeldin1%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
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Spread1%
ResolvesJan 20, 2029in 2 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Lee Zeldin is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the one who leaves first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. If multiple persons both announce they intend to leave and leave at the same time as other members, then the one whose last name is alphabetically first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position. For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Leaving office as a result of death is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?Kalshi76% NoOpen
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Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?: Will Scott Turner be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?Kalshi99% NoOpen
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Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?: Will Marco Rubio be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?Kalshi94% NoOpen
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Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?: Will Linda McMahon be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?: Will Kelly Loeffler be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?Kalshi98% NoOpen
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?: Will John Ratcliffe be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?Kalshi99% NoOpen
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Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?: Will Doug Collins be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?Kalshi95% NoOpen
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?: Will Jamieson Greer be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?Kalshi98% NoOpen
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?: Will Chris Wright be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?Kalshi92% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 10:20 PM UTC