KalshiOpen

Most expensive auction work sold in 2026? Above $200M

No60%

Above $200M40%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:16 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread4%

ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the highest auction work sale price of the any artwork on Artsy is above $200M in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For resolution purposes, “highest auction artwork sale price” refers to the single highest auction artwork sale price explicitly reported by the Source Agency in its publication “Most Expensive Auction Works in 2026.” Only artworks publicly sold at auction and explicitly reported by the Source Agency shall be considered.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Most expensive auction work sold in 2026? Above $250M	Kalshi	76% No	$8.1	—	—	Open
Most expensive auction work sold in 2026? Above $450M	Kalshi	95% No	$0	—	—	Open
Most expensive auction work sold in 2026? Above $500M	Kalshi	96% No	$0	—	—	Open
Most expensive auction work sold in 2026? Above $350M	Kalshi	94% No	$0	—	—	Open
Most expensive auction work sold in 2026? Above $300M	Kalshi	85% No	$0	—	—	Open
Most expensive auction work sold in 2026? Above $400M	Kalshi	89% No	$0	—	—	Open
Most expensive auction work sold in 2026? Above $150M	Kalshi	98% Above $150M	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 08:27 PM UTC