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Alberta Separation Process Referendum passes?: Will the option in Alberta’s 2026 referendum asking whether the Government of Alberta should commence the legal process required under the Canadian Constitution to hold a binding provincial referendum on whether Alberta should separate from Canada pass? Yes
No92%
Yes8%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$1.5K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 19, 2026in 19 days
Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the option in Alberta’s 2026 referendum asking whether the Government of Alberta should commence the legal process required under the Canadian Constitution to hold a binding provincial referendum on whether Alberta should separate from Canada passes, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Venue activity
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As of Sep 30, 09:54 PM UTC