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US personal saving rate below 2% in 2026?: Will US personal saving rate for 2026 be below 2.0%?

No74%

Below 2.0%26%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:41 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread4%

ResolvesFeb 5, 2027in 4 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the US personal saving rate is reported below 2.0% in any Bureau of Economic Analysis Personal Income and Outlays release covering a 2026 reference month, then the market resolves to Yes. The “US personal saving rate” means the monthly personal saving rate reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, defined as personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income. This market resolves based on the first value reported for each 2026 reference month in the corresponding BEA Personal Income and Outlays release. Later revisions do not affect settlement.

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As of Sep 29, 10:58 PM UTC