Annual Return: DXY vs. Gold: Will Gold outperform U.S. Dollar Index?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Gold performs above U.S. Dollar Index during 2026 by 0.001% rounded to the nearest 3rd then the market resolves to Yes. Percent return is calculated from the official opening price of each asset on January 2, 2026 (the first published trading day of the calendar year) and the official closing price on December 31, 2026. For example, if the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) opens at 102 on January 2, 2026 and closes at 107 on December 31, 2026, it will be concluded that the annual percentage return of the U.S. Dollar Index is +4.902%.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Annual Return: DXY vs. Gold: Will U.S. Dollar Index outperform Gold? | Kalshi | 50% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 30, 04:43 PM UTC