KalshiOpen

S&P price at year-end? : Will the S&P 500 be above 7500 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,500 or above

7,500 or above60%

No40%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:24 PM UTC

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24h volume$105

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 7500, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
S&P price at year-end? : Will the S&P 500 be above 7200 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,200 or above	Kalshi	79% 7,200 or above	$405	—	—	Open
S&P price at year-end? : Will the S&P 500 be above 7300 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,300 or above	Kalshi	77% 7,300 or above	$314.9	—	—	Open
S&P price at year-end? : Will the S&P 500 be above 7600 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,600 or above	Kalshi	64% 7,600 or above	$234	—	—	Open
S&P price at year-end? : Will the S&P 500 be above 7000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,000 or above	Kalshi	81% 7,000 or above	$135.3	—	—	Open
S&P price at year-end? : Will the S&P 500 be above 7400 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,400 or above	Kalshi	76% 7,400 or above	$59.4	—	—	Open
S&P price at year-end? : Will the S&P 500 be above 7900 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,900 or above	Kalshi	52% No	$16.2	—	—	Open
S&P price at year-end? : Will the S&P 500 be above 7700 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,700 or above	Kalshi	63% 7,700 or above	$5.2	—	—	Open
S&P price at year-end? : Will the S&P 500 be above 6900 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? 6,900 or above	Kalshi	84% 6,900 or above	$4.1	—	—	Open
S&P price at year-end? : Will the S&P 500 be above 8200 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? 8,200 or above	Kalshi	82% No	$0	—	—	Open
S&P price at year-end? : Will the S&P 500 be above 8300 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? 8,300 or above	Kalshi	87% No	$0	—	—	Open
S&P price at year-end? : Will the S&P 500 be above 8400 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? 8,400 or above	Kalshi	94% No	$0	—	—	Open
S&P price at year-end? : Will the S&P 500 be above 8500 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? 8,500 or above	Kalshi	95% No	$0	—	—	Open
S&P price at year-end? : Will the S&P 500 be above 7800 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,800 or above	Kalshi	54% 7,800 or above	$0	—	—	Open
S&P price at year-end? : Will the S&P 500 be above 8100 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? 8,100 or above	Kalshi	71% No	$0	—	—	Open
S&P price at year-end? : Will the S&P 500 be above 8000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? 8,000 or above	Kalshi	59% No	$0	—	—	Open
S&P price at year-end? : Will the S&P 500 be above 7100 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,100 or above	Kalshi	80% 7,100 or above	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 09:26 PM UTC