KalshiOpen

Gold price at year end?: Will the price of Gold be above 5000 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST? 5,000 or above

No89%
5,000 or above11%

Price checked at

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24h volume$58.6
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread4%
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 5000 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Pyth - Gold.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Gold price at year end?: Will the price of Gold be above 4400 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST? 4,400 or aboveKalshi70% NoOpen
Gold price at year end?: Will the price of Gold be above 4300 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST? 4,300 or aboveKalshi52% NoOpen
Gold price at year end?: Will the price of Gold be above 4500 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST? 4,500 or aboveKalshi77% NoOpen
Gold price at year end?: Will the price of Gold be above 4600 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST? 4,600 or aboveKalshi82% NoOpen
Gold price at year end?: Will the price of Gold be above 4700 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST? 4,700 or aboveKalshi86% NoOpen
Gold price at year end?: Will the price of Gold be above 4900 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST? 4,900 or aboveKalshi84% NoOpen
Gold price at year end?: Will the price of Gold be above 5400 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST? 5,400 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price at year end?: Will the price of Gold be above 5200 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST? 5,200 or aboveKalshi92% NoOpen
Gold price at year end?: Will the price of Gold be above 5100 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST? 5,100 or aboveKalshi93% NoOpen
Gold price at year end?: Will the price of Gold be above 5300 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST? 5,300 or aboveKalshi92% NoOpen
Gold price at year end?: Will the price of Gold be above 4800 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST? 4,800 or aboveKalshi86% NoOpen
Gold price at year end?: Will the price of Gold be above 5500 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST? 5,500 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

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As of Sep 29, 11:01 PM UTC