KalshiOpen

Major volcano eruption in 2026?: Will there be at least 3 VEI4 eruptions worldwide in 2026?

No98%

At least 32%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:38 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

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Spread4%

ResolvesJun 29, 2027in 9 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

If the number of VEI4 volcanic eruptions worldwide with a GVP-attributed start in 2026 is at least 3, then the market resolves to Yes.

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Major volcano eruption in 2026?: Will there be at least 1 VEI4 eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Kalshi	51% No	$19	—	—	Open
Major volcano eruption in 2026?: Will there be at least 2 VEI4 eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Kalshi	94% No	$5	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 11:21 PM UTC