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Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?: Will Morgan Stanley serve as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's IPO?

Morgan Stanley79%
No21%

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24h volume$300
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread8%
ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Morgan Stanley serves as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If two or more underwriters are presented on the cover of the final prospectus as jointly occupying the lead-left position, such that no single underwriter is uppermost-and-leftmost (for example, two names sharing equal top billing), then each such underwriter's outcome resolves to $1/(the number of tied underwriters), rounded down, for “Yes”, and “No” will be paid $1 minus the Yes value.

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As of Sep 29, 11:02 PM UTC