KalshiOpen

Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 5.0% in September?

No98%
Above 5.0%2%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 2, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 19Sep 25Oct 1Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 5.0% in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

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As of Oct 1, 08:01 AM UTC