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How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 output token price get in 2026?: Will Output Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 be at or below $10/MTok in 2026? $10/MTok or below

No98%
$10/MTok or below2%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Output Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 on https://claude.com/pricing#api is at or below $10 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the price listed of the Output Token Price for Claude Opus 4.8 in in 2026 on https://claude.com/pricing#api. The price must be explicitly displayed on the API pricing section of that page. If the product is renamed or succeeded, the closest equivalent product controls. If the page is unavailable on the expiration date, the last available published price will be used. Prices are in USD per MTok. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution — only the standard listed API price applies. If no data is available by the Expiration Date, the last available price for Claude Opus 4.8 in 2026 will be used. If no prior value is available, all strikes shall resolve to “No”.

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As of Sep 29, 11:16 PM UTC