KalshiOpen

Vancouver condo price below C$650K in 2026?: Will the MLS® Home Price Index benchmark price of apartment homes in Metro Vancouver in 2026 fall below 650K? Below C$650,000

No81%
Below C$650,00019%

Price checked at

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread8%
ResolvesJan 22, 2027in 4 months

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 19Sep 26Oct 2Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the MLS® Home Price Index benchmark price of apartment homes in Metro Vancouver in 2026 is below C$650,000 in any Greater Vancouver REALTORS® monthly market report covering January 2026 through December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the MLS® Home Price Index benchmark price for apartment homes in Metro Vancouver, not the average sale price, median sale price, composite benchmark price, detached home price, townhouse price, City of Vancouver-only price, or any broader/narrower geography. For purposes of this market, “condo” in the title refers to the apartment-home property category used by the Source Agency. The market will resolve based on the first published Greater Vancouver REALTORS® monthly market report for the relevant month. Later revisions, corrections, or restatements will not affect resolution.

Venue activity

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As of Oct 2, 12:01 PM UTC