Calgary home price below C$550K in 2026?: Will the unadjusted total residential benchmark price for the City of Calgary in 2026 fall below C$550,000?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the unadjusted total residential benchmark price for the City of Calgary in 2026 is below C$550,000 in any Calgary Real Estate Board monthly housing statistics release covering January 2026 through December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the unadjusted total residential benchmark price for the City of Calgary, as reported by the Calgary Real Estate Board. The market will not use average sale price, median sale price, detached-home benchmark price, apartment benchmark price, semi-detached benchmark price, row-home benchmark price, Calgary-area price, or any other housing price measure. The market will resolve based on the first published Calgary Real Estate Board figure for the relevant monthly report. Later revisions, corrections, or restatements will not affect resolution.
Venue activity
Read from the venue yesterdayDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Oct 2, 04:31 PM UTC