KalshiOpen
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?: Will above 3 Starship launches reach space in 2026?
Above 391%
No9%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$108.9
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread5%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If above 3 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight.
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As of Sep 30, 04:07 PM UTC