KalshiOpen

When will the Senate pass a budget resolution?: Will a budget resolution passed the Senate before Jan 1, 2027?

No68%
Before Jan 1, 202732%

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Spread8%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If a budget resolution has passed the Senate after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills. Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage. The market resolves based on the first occurrence of the specified milestone.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
When will the Senate pass a budget resolution?: Will a budget resolution passed the Senate before Oct 1, 2026?Kalshi99% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 11:16 PM UTC