KalshiOpen

Unemployment in November: Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.5% in November?

No97%

Above 4.5%3%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:05 PM UTC

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24h volume$220

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread10%

ResolvesDec 4, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.5% in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Unemployment in November: Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.7% in November?	Kalshi	95% Above 3.7%	$1.4K	—	—	Open
Unemployment in November: Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.3% in November?	Kalshi	91% No	$1.4K	—	—	Open
Unemployment in November: Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in November?	Kalshi	74% No	$225	—	—	Open
Unemployment in November: Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.4% in November?	Kalshi	90% No	$214	—	—	Open
Unemployment in November: Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.8% in November?	Kalshi	95% Above 3.8%	$213	—	—	Open
Unemployment in November: Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.9% in November?	Kalshi	83% Above 3.9%	$211	—	—	Open
Unemployment in November: Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.7% in November?	Kalshi	56% Above 4.7%	$22	—	—	Open
Unemployment in November: Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.1% in November?	Kalshi	51% No	$17	—	—	Open
Unemployment in November: Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.8% in November?	Kalshi	97% No	$5	—	—	Open
Unemployment in November: Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 5.0% in November?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Unemployment in November: Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.9% in November?	Kalshi	96% No	$0	—	—	Open
Unemployment in November: Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.6% in November?	Kalshi	88% No	$0	—	—	Open
Unemployment in November: Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.0% in November?	Kalshi	74% Above 4.0%	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 09:35 PM UTC