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FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026): What will the FDA's decision be on Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo in 2026? a full approval or an accelerated approval

No99%
a full approval or an accelerated approval1%

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24h volume$205
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread5%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the FDA's decision on Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo in 2026 is a full approval or an accelerated approval, the market resolves to Yes. This market will resolve to No if the FDA's decision is a denial (CRL issued), a withdrawal by the sponsor, or a conditional approval — or if no decision is issued. Ifinatamab deruxtecan (also called I-DXd or DS-7300) is an antibody-drug conjugate — think of it as a guided missile where a targeting protein is chemically linked to a potent cancer-killing payload. The targeting protein homes in on a molecule called B7-H3 (also known as CD276), which appears in unusually high amounts on the surface of many cancer cells, and once the drug locks onto that target it is pulled inside the cell and releases its toxic payload. In doing so, it aims to kill tumor cells more precisely than traditional chemotherapy, which attacks both healthy and cancerous cells indiscriminately.

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As of Sep 29, 10:54 PM UTC