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FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026): What will the FDA's decision be on Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline in 2026? a full approval or an accelerated approval

a full approval or an accelerated approval99%
No1%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread5%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the FDA's decision on Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline in 2026 is a full approval or an accelerated approval, the market resolves to Yes. This market will resolve to No if the FDA's decision is a denial (CRL issued), a withdrawal by the sponsor, or a conditional approval — or if no decision is issued. Bepirovirsen is an experimental antiviral medicine developed by GlaxoSmithKline that is designed to clear the hepatitis B virus from the body rather than just keeping it asleep. It belongs to a modern class of gene-silencing therapies that hunt down and destroy the virus's replication instructions. This is similar to intercepting and shredding a virus’s blueprints before its cell-invading factory has a chance to read them and build new viral copies.

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As of Sep 30, 12:48 AM UTC