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What will the FDA's decision be on Venglustat by Sanofi in 2026? a full approval or an accelerated approval

a full approval or an accelerated approval78%
No22%

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24h volume$0
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Spread7%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 19Sep 25Oct 2Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the FDA's decision on Venglustat by Sanofi in 2026 is a full approval or an accelerated approval, the market resolves to Yes. This market will resolve to No if the FDA's decision is a denial (CRL issued), a withdrawal by the sponsor, or a conditional approval — or if no decision is issued. Venglustat is an oral small-molecule drug developed by Sanofi that works by slowing down the body's production of a fatty substance called glucosylceramide, which builds up to harmful levels in people with Gaucher disease — think of it like adjusting a factory's output dial rather than cleaning up the mess after the fact. It belongs to a class called substrate reduction therapy (SRT), meaning it targets the upstream source of the problem rather than replacing a missing enzyme. Because it is a small molecule taken by mouth and designed to cross into the brain, it has potential to address the neurological symptoms that older enzyme-based treatments cannot reach.

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As of Oct 2, 05:50 AM UTC