KalshiOpen

Texas State Senate winner?: Who will win the Texas Senate? Democratic party

No88%
Democratic party12%

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24h volume$0
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Spread4%
ResolvesNov 3, 2026next month

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Democratic party wins the Texas Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Winning is defined as holding more seats than any other party two weeks after the Senate is sat for the session following the election. If both parties are tied, then the market resolves to No. This market is also eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Texas State Senate winner?: Who will win the Texas Senate? Republican partyKalshi93% Republican partyOpen

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As of Sep 29, 08:22 PM UTC