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Will SpaceX acquire any major U.S. telecom business before 2028?: Will SpaceX announce acquisition of any major U.S. telecom business before Jan 1, 2028? Yes

No63%
Yes37%

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24h volume$182.8
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread8%
ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If SpaceX announces an agreement to acquire any major U.S. telecom business before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this market "any major U.S. telecom business" is defined as any of the following companies: AT&T Inc., Verizon Communications Inc., T-Mobile US Inc., EchoStar Corp, Comcast Corp, Charter Communications Inc., Lumen Technologies Inc., and US Cellular Corp. The announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.

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As of Sep 29, 07:22 PM UTC