KalshiOpen

Will Mexico resume oil exports to Cuba before October 1, 2026?

No95%

Before October 1, 20265%

Price checked at Sep 30, 03:26 AM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread6%

ResolvesOct 1, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If at least one export shipment of crude oil or refined petroleum products from Petróleos Mexicanos (“Pemex”) to Cuba is confirmed to have occurred before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Mexico resume oil exports to Cuba before Dec 1, 2026? Before December 1, 2026	Kalshi	80% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will Mexico resume oil exports to Cuba before Nov 1, 2026? Before November 1, 2026	Kalshi	89% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 30, 03:45 AM UTC