When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?: Will a reconciliation bill passed the Senate before Dec 1, 2026?

If a reconciliation bill has passed the Senate after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills. Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage. The market resolves based on the first occurrence of the specified milestone.